I’m guilty of leaning way too much on last season’s stats when I try to predict winners. But now I’m not so sure it’s the right approach. Should we stop trusting last year’s numbers altogether?
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This is great, thanks! I was looking for a resource that challenges the idea of trusting last year’s stats blindly. I’ll give that article a try.
Been there—I’d lean on last year’s stats like they were the Bible. Then I read an article https://kahawatungu.com/why-last-years-sports-stats-are-lying-to-you-this-season/ that rocked my foundation: it argues that past data can lead you astray because it doesn’t account for evolution. I started using that insight to reframe my picks—if a team looked strong last year, I now ask “what’s changed?” before betting. Turns out that simple pause helps me avoid overvaluing legacy performance. The article suggests focusing more on current form and less on nostalgia. It’s given me better judgment and more confidence. If you think yesterday’s success shouldn’t guarantee today’s, this read will validate that feeling